Your vote counts, but does it matter?

Tomorrow we’ll all go to the polls to cast our ballots, or at least we should.  Every vote counts.

And it’s true.  We’ve all heard stories of elections and ballot issues decided by a handful of votes, especially on the local level where a total of only hundreds or a few thousand votes may be cast.  Your vote may be the deciding factor in determining which candidate takes office.

But does that really matter?  With each passing election cycle, polls show that more and more voters say that America is “on the wrong track.”  Indeed it is, and that’s exactly the problem – we’ve been on a road to nowhere for decades.  We took a turn down that road in the wake of World War II with our embrace of  free trade as a way to head off such wars in the future.  Add to that our dedication to using population growth to stoke economic growth.  On those two issues – free trade and population growth (driven by immigration), there is absolutely no difference between the Republican and Democratic parties.  Both parties promise to keep us heading down that road.  So does it really matter if you veer left or right on the road to nowhere?  Of course not.

Oh, it may sound like there’s differences.  The Democratic candidate may say that he or she is against unfair trade practices.  The problem is that “fairness” isn’t the problem when trading with badly overpopulated nations.  Fair or not, the results will be the same – a huge trade deficit and loss of jobs, driven by the disparity in population density.*  Fairness, currency manipulation, cheap labor, lax environmental rules – none of these things matter.  Trade imbalances are determined by disparities in population density.  Period.

In the case of immigration, the Republican candidate may rail against illegal immigration and demand more border enforcement, but also supports higher quotas for legal immigration.  The Democratic candidate will tend to oppose those higher quotas, but will sympathize with illegal immigrants in search of a better life.  In the final analysis, does it really matter whether or not that person who just took your job has a green card in his wallet?  Our rate of population growth has remained on exactly the same trajectory for decades, regardless of which party held power.  The net result is the same – a labor force that grows faster than it can be absorbed by the economy, driving down incomes.*

Both parties favor reducing the budget deficit.  Neither party will.  Republicans may cut taxes and Democrats may boost spending, but neither will make any difference in your financial security and the budget deficit won’t change, since it’s a function of the trade deficit.*

By all means, go to the polls tomorrow and vote.  Your vote will determine whether some hare-brained ballot initiative is passed and whether some crook wins some local election.  But don’t expect any change for the better at the national level.  With either party, you’ll get exactly the same thing.  We’ll continue veering left and right down the road to nowhere.

The only thing that will change for the better is that we’ll get a respite from political ads for a little while.

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* If you’re new to this site and don’t understand the inverse relationship between population density and per capita consumption and how it drives trade imbalances and unemployment, or how the budget deficit is a function of our trade deficit, I encourage you to read more on this site or to pick up a copy of Five ShortBlasts, available through this web site or from Amazon.

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